IRAQ BUSINESS DESK / INTELLIGENCE

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DATED EVENTS & MILESTONES

What changed

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Latest published coverage · publication dates
MARKETS & OPERATING CONDITIONS

Key indicators

Official exchange rates

Central Bank of Iraq

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Open source
Feed status, dates & additional sources
CBIChecking…

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OILChecking…

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SHIPPINGChecking…

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AIRChecking…

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THERMALChecking…

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ACLEDChecking…

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Checks run when this dashboard opens and every five minutes while visible. Each provider retains its own cache interval. Source observation dates and successful retrieval times are shown separately. Missing values are never treated as zero.

Local cash-market quotes · awaiting verified observations

Local cash-market quotes

Baghdad

No verified cash quote loaded.

Erbil

No verified cash quote loaded.

Cash-market buy and sell quotations are separate from CBI reference rates.

Maritime & connectivity watch · 0 reviewed developments

No reviewed developments loaded. An empty register does not establish normal operations.

UKMTO advisories · Cloudflare Radar Iraq · IMF PortWatch

LOCATIONS · INFRASTRUCTURE · EXPOSURE

Iraq & regional intelligence map

IRAQIRANSAUDI ARABIASYRIATÜRKIYEYEMENBaghdadErbilBasraMosul / NinevehSulaymaniyahDuhokKirkukSinjarRamadi / AnbarBaqubah / DiyalaBabil / HillaKarbalaWasit / KutMaysan / AmarahDhi Qar / NasiriyahMuthanna / SamawahQadisiyah / DiwaniyahSalah al-Din / TikritHalabjaNajafUmm QasrAl FawCeyhanBaniyasStrait of HormuzBab el-MandebSuez CanalRiyadhTehranSanaa32
11 mapped items in view · drag to pan
Natural Earth · public domain boundaries. Facility markers use approximate area anchors. Lines show schematic connections, not surveyed alignments.
Browse mapped items (11)
IRAQ & KURDISTAN REGION

Weather report

Model forecasts · checked hourly

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Forecast data © MET Norway · CC BY 4.0. Values rounded, wind converted to km/h and forecast samples selected. These are model predictions, not live station observations or official warnings. Dust forecasts and airport visibility are reported separately below.

Airport observations · wind & visibility

NOAA Aviation Weather Center
Station observations in Baghdad time. These do not confirm flight delays, closures or flight clearance.
AirportObservedWind / gust km/hVisibility km°C
BaghdadORBILoading…— / ———
ErbilORERLoading…— / ———
BasraORMMLoading…— / ———
SulaymaniyahORSULoading…— / ———
NajafORNILoading…— / ———
KirkukORKKLoading…— / ———

Wind converted from knots and visibility from statute miles. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Last successful retrieval: Not supplied.

Dust & air quality

CAMS / Open-Meteo

The dust forecast source is available through the provider link.

BUYERS · DEADLINES · AWARDS

Procurement & opportunities

Full opportunity register
Reviewed notices. An award or closed notice is not an open call.
Notice / buyerSector / locationStatus / deadlineChanges / source

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ORIGINAL NOTICES & EFFECTIVE DATES

Regulatory watch

Latest reviewed status for each regulation. Undated effect is not assumed.
NoticeCurrent statusAnnouncement / effective dateAffected businesses / next step
Iraq stops advance customs payments, reopening the question of reform sequencingMinistry of Finance · Cabinet Decision 413 of 2026Original statementSuspendedAs reported 2026-10-072026-10-07Effective: Not separately confirmedPublished: 2026-10-07 · Reviewed: 2026-10-07Importers and banks handling covered import transfers

No replacement start date announced. Treatment of payments and transfers already in progress awaits detailed instructions.

Status history

2026-10-06 · Cabinet Decision 544 issued, as reported in the ministry statement · Source

2026-10-07 · Ministry announces suspension of Decision 413 implementation · Source

CBI sets public dollar rate at 1,520 dinars from 7 OctoberCentral Bank of Iraq · CBI exchange-rate circular, 7 October 2026Reported circularActive · reported circularAs reported 2026-10-072026-10-07Effective: 2026-10-07Published: 2026-10-07 · Reviewed: 2026-10-07Licensed banks, exchange companies and electronic-payment companies

Reported rates: CBI purchase from Finance Ministry 1,500; CBI sale to banks 1,510; sale to public 1,520 IQD/USD. These do not describe the parallel cash market.

Status history

2026-10-07 · Active · reported circular · Source

FROM FINANCING TO DELIVERY

Project milestones

Investment tracker
Financing and delivery have separate evidence. An approval does not establish disbursement or construction.
Project / buyerFinancingDeliveryNext disclosed milestone

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World Bank Iraq portfolio · 0 source records

Commitments and project status from World Bank Projects & Operations, CC BY 4.0. These are not procurement notices or verified construction milestones. Last successful check: Not supplied.

ProjectSource statusApprovedCommitment USD

Regional outlook & market expectations

Four regional questions alongside oil and dollar financing. These are traders’ expectations, not verified events or Iraq Business Desk forecasts.

Regional outlook

Market expectationsPolymarket

This contract’s period has ended or trading is unavailable. View outcome and settlement status.

Iraq relevance & contract rules

Market expectations relevant to regional business continuity and investment planning. This is not an assessment of security at a specific Iraqi location.

This contract turns on qualifying US military action against Iran before the cutoff. It is not a measure of all hostilities in the region. The source defines qualifying actions and evidence.

Deadline: 15 October 2026, 23:59 Iran time (23:29 Baghdad). Market-implied probabilities are separate from Iraq Business Desk analysis. Read the full source rules.
Regional escalation

Will the US–Iran ceasefire continue through 15 October?

Market expectations relevant to regional business continuity and investment planning. This is not an assessment of security at a specific Iraqi location.

EndedCheck source settlement
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Market expectationsPolymarket
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Iraq relevance & contract rules

A separate signal of escalation expectations for regional travel, logistics and operating plans. Read alongside reviewed reporting.

The question concerns the ceasefire between Israel and Iran through the listed cutoff, under the source’s definition. It does not cover every regional conflict or establish flight safety.

Deadline: 31 October 2026, 23:59 Iran time (23:29 Baghdad). Market-implied probabilities are separate from Iraq Business Desk analysis. Read the full source rules.
Regional escalation

Will the Israel–Iran ceasefire continue through 31 October?

A separate signal of escalation expectations for regional travel, logistics and operating plans. Read alongside reviewed reporting.

—Market-implied Yes probability
24h changeNot supplied
7d changeNot supplied
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Figures unavailable; open the source.

Market expectationsPolymarket
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Iraq relevance & contract rules

Relevant to southern Iraqi oil-export routes and Gulf maritime logistics. Pair market expectations with actual transit data.

The source uses an IMF PortWatch seven-day average of at least 60 ship transit calls on a qualifying date. This threshold does not mean all routes, cargo volumes or insurance conditions have recovered.

Deadline: Through 31 October 2026; observation dates follow IMF PortWatch. Market-implied probabilities are separate from Iraq Business Desk analysis. Read the full source rules.
Shipping & oil exports

Will Hormuz shipping meet the recovery threshold by 31 October?

Relevant to southern Iraqi oil-export routes and Gulf maritime logistics. Pair market expectations with actual transit data.

—Market-implied Yes probability
24h changeNot supplied
7d changeNot supplied
LiquidityNot supplied
24h volumeNot supplied

Figures unavailable; open the source.

Market expectationsPolymarket
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Iraq relevance & contract rules

Relevant to regional routing and air freight. This market does not establish the status of Iraqi airspace, an airport or an individual flight.

A general Iranian airspace closure for reasons other than weather alone qualifies under the source rules. Iranian aviation authorities and credible reporting are the stated evidence sources.

Deadline: 31 October 2026, 23:59 US Eastern time (1 November, 06:59 Baghdad). Market-implied probabilities are separate from Iraq Business Desk analysis. Read the full source rules.
Aviation & travel

Will Iran initiate a general airspace closure by 31 October?

Relevant to regional routing and air freight. This market does not establish the status of Iraqi airspace, an airport or an individual flight.

—Market-implied Yes probability
24h changeNot supplied
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24h volumeNot supplied

Figures unavailable; open the source.

Oil & dollar financing

Market expectationsPolymarket
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Iraq relevance & contract rules

A global oil-price signal for revenue and energy-cost scenarios. WTI is not Iraq’s export basket; this contract does not forecast Iraqi oil receipts.

Deadline: 1 Nov 2026, 06:59 Baghdad. Market-implied probabilities are separate from Iraq Business Desk analysis. Read the full source rules.
Oil outlook

Will WTI reach $100 in October 2026?

A global oil-price signal for revenue and energy-cost scenarios. WTI is not Iraq’s export basket; this contract does not forecast Iraqi oil receipts.

—Market-implied Yes probability
24h changeNot supplied
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Market expectationsPolymarket
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Iraq relevance & contract rules

A signal for the dollar interest-rate environment. Iraqi lending costs also depend on local liquidity, bank pricing and borrower risk.

Deadline: 29 Oct 2026, 03:00 Baghdad. Market-implied probabilities are separate from Iraq Business Desk analysis. Read the full source rules.
Dollar financing

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

A signal for the dollar interest-rate environment. Iraqi lending costs also depend on local liquidity, bank pricing and borrower risk.

—Market-implied Yes probability
24h changeNot supplied
7d changeNot supplied
LiquidityNot supplied
24h volumeNot supplied

Figures unavailable; open the source.

Figures refresh every five minutes while this page is visible; embedded charts update independently. Changes are percentage points (pp), not percentage returns. Missing values are not zero. Low liquidity is flagged below $10,000 and wide spreads above 10 percentage points; these are display thresholds, not measures of forecast accuracy. Each contract has its own deadline and settlement rules.

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158 articlesNewest first · editorial publication dates
Utilities

JICA considers household solar financing model for Iraq

Talks with the Electricity Ministry covered solar projects, grid connections and a possible household financing scheme; no lending facility has been announced.

News·1 min readSource-backed
Iraq-wideSource 13 Oct 2026
Checked 15 Oct 2026